all things equal, greater uncertainty in growth increases prices

posted 2009-10-25T23:12:08Z

a nice paper by pastor et al. shows that uncertainty in the growth rate of a company naturally leads to a higher stock price, due to convexity of the gordon growth model (a variant of discounted cash flows model). this idea can explain bubbles as being due to uncertainty in emerging technologies, such the one that developed during the internet bubble around year 2000.

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